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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12PM ET

data as of 2025-06-21 11:03 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$5.8K−$4.6K$10K
Holders18−220
Trades283−35318
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate61.4%
+11.2 pp
50.2%
Avg ROI1.8%
−1.0 pp
2.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.44
+0.81×
×0.63
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.48
+0.85×
×0.63
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$408
+$359
$49
Recent buyer dominance0.99
+0.31
0.68
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-32.5%
−89.1 pp
56.6%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %69.4%
−23.9 pp
93.3%
Bot %69.4%
−23.9 pp
93.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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