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Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 31°C on April 22?

data as of 2026-04-22 10:10 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$97−$1.8K$1.9K
Holders42+438
Trades188+65123
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate28.7%
−63.0 pp
91.7%
Avg ROI7.0%
+5.7 pp
1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×35.38
+34.42×
×0.96
Top-20 avg cost vs price×29.54
+28.58×
×0.96
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6
−$482
$488
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.11
0.89
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.8%
−101.0 pp
4.2%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %26.3%
+14.7 pp
11.6%
Bot %37.9%
+26.7 pp
11.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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