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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10PM ET

data as of 2026-04-20 02:53 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$2.3K−$6.3K$8.6K
Holders90+2466
Trades1.1K+553544
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.6%
+1.0 pp
47.6%
Avg ROI2.3%
+14.6 pp
-12.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×14.33
+13.67×
×0.67
Top-20 avg cost vs price×12.16
+11.46×
×0.70
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$102
−$561
$663
Recent buyer dominance0.92
+0.08
0.83
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.3%
−135.0 pp
41.7%
Underwater %98.5%
+98.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %81.5%
+30.9 pp
50.6%
Bot %81.5%
+30.9 pp
50.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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