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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

data as of 2026-03-18 01:44 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$27K+$18K$9.7K
Holders283−12295
Trades3.4K−7364.1K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate68.6%
+33.9 pp
34.7%
Avg ROI1.0%
−3.5 pp
4.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.77
−97.48×
×98.25
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.77
−131.91×
×132.68
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.0K
+$2.6K
$350
Recent buyer dominance0.59
−0.33
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL25.5%
+125.0 pp
-99.4%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.9 pp
99.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %63.2%
+20.3 pp
42.9%
Bot %63.4%
+20.5 pp
42.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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