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XRP Up or Down - February 4, 12PM ET

data as of 2026-02-04 17:58 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$1.6K−$6.6K$8.2K
Holders53−154
Trades867+110757
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate40.9%
−22.1 pp
63.0%
Avg ROI0.2%
+0.7 pp
-0.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×7.74
+6.96×
×0.78
Top-20 avg cost vs price×8.33
+7.57×
×0.75
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$0
−$1.1K
$1.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.46
−0.54
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-87.5%
−122.0 pp
34.6%
Underwater %90.2%
+79.2 pp
11.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %73.0%
+5.1 pp
67.9%
Bot %69.8%
+0.7 pp
69.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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