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Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on May 3?

data as of 2026-05-03 09:59 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$132−$3.2K$3.3K
Holders50−1565
Trades494+244250
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate38.0%
−46.4 pp
84.3%
Avg ROI5.5%
+6.5 pp
-0.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×6.16
+5.21×
×0.95
Top-20 avg cost vs price×4.28
+3.31×
×0.97
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$118
$119
Recent buyer dominance0.65
−0.35
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-76.2%
−79.5 pp
3.3%
Underwater %76.5%
+55.9 pp
20.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %4.9%
−1.4 pp
6.2%
Bot %11.0%
+4.8 pp
6.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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