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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

data as of 2026-03-04 02:28 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$14K−$26K$40K
Holders364+53311
Trades4.3K−3594.7K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate40.8%
−11.6 pp
52.4%
Avg ROI2.6%
+1.8 pp
0.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×35.12
+34.47×
×0.65
Top-20 avg cost vs price×33.18
+32.52×
×0.66
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.6K
−$10.8K
$13.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.91
+0.05
0.85
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.8%
−147.2 pp
50.4%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %77.6%
−6.1 pp
83.6%
Bot %76.9%
−5.8 pp
82.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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