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Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 6?

data as of 2026-05-06 03:01 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$2.1K−$26K$28K
Holders223+54169
Trades1.1K−281.1K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate32.3%
−39.9 pp
72.2%
Avg ROI54.7%
+59.0 pp
-4.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×5.00
+4.01×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×8.16
+7.21×
×0.95
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$41
−$810
$851
Recent buyer dominance0.89
−0.08
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-90.9%
−99.6 pp
8.7%
Underwater %99.5%
+99.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %8.7%
+2.6 pp
6.1%
Bot %10.2%
+4.1 pp
6.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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