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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

data as of 2026-07-06 22:44 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.0K−$5.0K$7.9K
Holders1300130
Trades1.2K+1011.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.0%
−3.9 pp
52.9%
Avg ROI1.2%
−0.4 pp
1.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×33.00
+32.27×
×0.73
Top-20 avg cost vs price×26.31
+25.56×
×0.75
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.2K
−$4.1K
$5.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.99
+0.01
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.4%
−133.5 pp
37.1%
Underwater %97.4%
+97.4 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %45.4%
+4.5 pp
40.9%
Bot %56.1%
−4.3 pp
60.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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