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Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

data as of 2026-07-04 11:29 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$495−$308$804
Holders38+830
Trades297+29268
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.0%
−3.8 pp
55.8%
Avg ROI0.3%
−0.6 pp
0.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×14.41
+13.74×
×0.67
Top-20 avg cost vs price×14.13
+13.47×
×0.66
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$174
−$114
$288
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.07
0.89
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.0%
−144.5 pp
51.5%
Underwater %99.5%
+99.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %54.5%
−2.0 pp
56.5%
Bot %54.4%
−1.8 pp
56.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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