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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2PM ET

data as of 2026-07-27 18:58 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$1.3K−$9.0K$10K
Holders56−561
Trades524+13511
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate41.4%
−19.6 pp
61.0%
Avg ROI54.0%
+52.8 pp
1.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×22.59
+21.66×
×0.93
Top-20 avg cost vs price×78.63
+77.76×
×0.87
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$20
+$73
−$53
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.67
0.33
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-98.9%
−115.2 pp
16.3%
Underwater %99.1%
+99.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %32.8%
−29.4 pp
62.1%
Bot %40.6%
−34.2 pp
74.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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