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Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 4?

data as of 2026-06-03 02:21 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$165−$4.5K$4.7K
Holders65−2590
Trades349−32381
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.7%
−25.3 pp
75.0%
Avg ROI10.3%
+6.2 pp
4.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.86
+1.91×
×0.94
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.12
+2.17×
×0.96
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4
−$204
$208
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-68.2%
−72.8 pp
4.6%
Underwater %97.6%
+94.4 pp
3.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %38.6%
+34.0 pp
4.6%
Bot %39.2%
+33.9 pp
5.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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