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Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 3, 2026?

data as of 2026-02-02 23:13 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$9.9K+$3.8K$6.2K
Holders45−3277
Trades722+129593
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.9%
−2.0 pp
53.9%
Avg ROI1.1%
−10.5 pp
11.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.34
−43.34×
×43.68
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.44
−37.70×
×38.14
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$81
−$18
$99
Recent buyer dominance0.54
−0.44
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL129.0%
+226.3 pp
-97.4%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.5 pp
99.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %18.5%
−4.5 pp
23.0%
Bot %22.9%
−1.6 pp
24.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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