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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

data as of 2026-03-03 03:04 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$17K−$9.2K$27K
Holders433+91342
Trades4.9K+4264.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.3%
−10.5 pp
57.9%
Avg ROI63.8%
+65.2 pp
-1.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×14.49
+13.92×
×0.57
Top-20 avg cost vs price×13.91
+13.34×
×0.57
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$17.0K
−$605
$17.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.04
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.5%
−164.8 pp
72.3%
Underwater %97.8%
+97.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %83.1%
−5.6 pp
88.7%
Bot %83.3%
−5.8 pp
89.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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