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Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on April 29?

data as of 2026-04-29 20:31 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$6.0K+$5.2K$725
Holders86−692
Trades516+169347
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate82.3%
+32.4 pp
49.9%
Avg ROI1.9%
+2.0 pp
-0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.98
−4.19×
×5.17
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.91
−5.15×
×6.06
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.5K
+$1.5K
$44
Recent buyer dominance0.95
−0.04
0.99
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL12.4%
+101.1 pp
-88.7%
Underwater %32.2%
−58.2 pp
90.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %18.3%
−37.3 pp
55.6%
Bot %17.9%
−40.2 pp
58.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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