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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET

data as of 2026-06-15 04:59 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$5.0K−$3.9K$9.0K
Holders131+24107
Trades1.6K+291.5K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.2%
−8.0 pp
52.1%
Avg ROI2.3%
+0.3 pp
2.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×33.79
+33.16×
×0.63
Top-20 avg cost vs price×31.47
+30.82×
×0.65
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$976
−$1.7K
$2.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.20
0.75
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.7%
−152.6 pp
55.8%
Underwater %91.5%
+91.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %69.2%
−4.0 pp
73.1%
Bot %73.4%
−9.8 pp
83.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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