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Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?

data as of 2026-07-14 08:36 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jul 31, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
20¢
NO
48¢
YES
20¢
YesY-NNo
Position$330−$128$458
Holders9−110
Trades15−217
NO
48¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.8%
+10.7 pp
41.1%
Avg ROI6.8%
+4.9 pp
1.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.65
−1.00×
×1.65
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.68
−0.94×
×1.63
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$6
−$378
$371
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL45.7%
+84.2 pp
-38.5%
Underwater %2.6%
−94.3 pp
96.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %96.6%
+96.6 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
−38.4 pp
38.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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