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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

data as of 2026-07-17 12:00 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$9.5K+$1.5K$8.0K
Holders148+5143
Trades1.4K−561.5K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.0%
−0.7 pp
51.7%
Avg ROI3.6%
+2.9 pp
0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×53.78
+53.34×
×0.44
Top-20 avg cost vs price×54.42
+53.97×
×0.44
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.7K
+$831
$1.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.76
−0.14
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-98.0%
−228.6 pp
130.6%
Underwater %96.3%
+96.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %48.4%
−9.1 pp
57.5%
Bot %62.4%
−5.8 pp
68.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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