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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

data as of 2026-07-13 02:10 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$14K−$6.6K$20K
Holders345−19364
Trades3.8K+103.8K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.9%
−1.8 pp
52.7%
Avg ROI2.7%
+0.9 pp
1.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×41.00
+40.43×
×0.57
Top-20 avg cost vs price×40.79
+40.20×
×0.59
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$13.4K
−$5.7K
$19.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.03
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.4%
−162.5 pp
65.1%
Underwater %99.8%
+99.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %46.5%
+5.3 pp
41.2%
Bot %61.9%
+1.7 pp
60.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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