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Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

data as of 2026-01-22 18:44 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$48K+$23K$26K
Holders335−20355
Trades6.4K−8887.3K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate57.1%
+13.2 pp
43.9%
Avg ROI15.4%
−9.8 pp
25.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.66
−29.53×
×30.18
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.64
−28.47×
×29.12
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$12.9K
+$9.3K
$3.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.83
−0.02
0.85
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL53.4%
+149.7 pp
-96.4%
Underwater %0.0%
−96.3 pp
96.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %78.2%
+18.3 pp
59.9%
Bot %77.4%
+18.2 pp
59.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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