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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

data as of 2026-03-17 14:05 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$19K−$47K$66K
Holders563−132695
Trades5.2K−1435.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate65.9%
−9.5 pp
75.4%
Avg ROI6.7%
+7.4 pp
-0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.50
+1.81×
×0.69
Top-20 avg cost vs price×8.46
+7.68×
×0.78
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$17.7K
−$39.1K
$56.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.91
−0.03
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-89.9%
−125.0 pp
35.1%
Underwater %92.6%
+80.8 pp
11.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %43.6%
−6.2 pp
49.8%
Bot %42.3%
−6.4 pp
48.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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