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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

data as of 2026-05-26 16:00 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$7.0K−$14K$21K
Holders227+52175
Trades2.9K+5002.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.4%
−8.9 pp
55.3%
Avg ROI0.3%
+0.1 pp
0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×19.83
+19.07×
×0.76
Top-20 avg cost vs price×20.49
+19.76×
×0.73
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.7K
−$8.0K
$9.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.79
−0.11
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.5%
−131.4 pp
35.9%
Underwater %97.8%
+96.9 pp
0.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %57.6%
−8.4 pp
66.0%
Bot %71.7%
−10.6 pp
82.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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