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Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?

data as of 2025-12-26 05:13 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$377−$30K$30K
Holders85−28113
Trades1.2K+315861
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate33.8%
−53.5 pp
87.3%
Avg ROI-2.1%
−2.4 pp
0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.90
+0.94×
×0.97
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.23
+1.26×
×0.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5
−$228
$233
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-54.3%
−56.8 pp
2.4%
Underwater %100.0%
+99.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %32.7%
−8.8 pp
41.5%
Bot %39.2%
−2.3 pp
41.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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