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U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico"?

data as of 2026-01-01 03:35 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$138−$3.6K$3.7K
Holders44+2321
Trades209+11198
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate17.1%
−46.0 pp
63.1%
Avg ROI470.1%
+470.2 pp
-0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×12.69
+11.76×
×0.93
Top-20 avg cost vs price×30.76
+29.83×
×0.93
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
+$2
$0
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.7%
−104.0 pp
7.3%
Underwater %66.8%
+51.1 pp
15.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %57.3%
+11.5 pp
45.8%
Bot %62.0%
+16.2 pp
45.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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