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Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

data as of 2025-12-22 00:10 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$34K+$17K$17K
Holders176−100276
Trades2.9K−463.0K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate56.3%
+11.7 pp
44.6%
Avg ROI1.9%
−1.5 pp
3.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.70
−26.88×
×27.58
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.70
−27.68×
×28.37
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6.0K
+$5.5K
$504
Recent buyer dominance0.68
−0.16
0.84
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL42.3%
+138.6 pp
-96.3%
Underwater %0.1%
−96.3 pp
96.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %67.9%
+11.9 pp
56.0%
Bot %71.7%
+11.5 pp
60.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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