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Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 13?

data as of 2026-03-12 14:53 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$341−$12K$12K
Holders107−20127
Trades1.1K+312793
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate34.2%
−43.5 pp
77.8%
Avg ROI16.2%
+14.5 pp
1.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×4.75
+3.82×
×0.93
Top-20 avg cost vs price×4.51
+3.58×
×0.93
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3
−$106
$109
Recent buyer dominance0.87
−0.13
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-77.7%
−85.7 pp
8.0%
Underwater %97.5%
+97.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %21.3%
−9.2 pp
30.5%
Bot %20.4%
−10.2 pp
30.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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