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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

data as of 2026-02-06 02:40 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$133K+$108K$25K
Holders364−109473
Trades5.3K−3295.6K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate56.9%
+13.6 pp
43.3%
Avg ROI4.2%
−2.7 pp
6.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.68
−15.15×
×15.83
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.67
−15.47×
×16.14
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$25.4K
+$20.4K
$5.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.06
0.87
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL49.0%
+142.6 pp
-93.6%
Underwater %0.0%
−97.9 pp
97.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %78.7%
+6.6 pp
72.1%
Bot %78.8%
+6.7 pp
72.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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