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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

data as of 2026-04-15 12:38 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$88K+$83K$5.2K
Holders375+11364
Trades2.5K−2192.7K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate68.7%
+28.3 pp
40.4%
Avg ROI2.8%
−0.2 pp
3.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.90
−5.46×
×6.37
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.89
−9.61×
×10.50
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$28.1K
+$23.3K
$4.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.02
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL15.9%
+108.7 pp
-92.7%
Underwater %0.0%
−95.0 pp
95.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %63.9%
+8.7 pp
55.2%
Bot %70.1%
+13.0 pp
57.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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