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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

data as of 2026-04-04 06:50 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$19K+$14K$4.7K
Holders293−146439
Trades2.4K−6183.0K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate59.9%
+21.8 pp
38.1%
Avg ROI0.2%
−7.9 pp
8.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.79
−3.21×
×4.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.83
−12.39×
×13.22
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$13.0K
+$8.8K
$4.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
−0.02
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL28.0%
+120.3 pp
-92.3%
Underwater %0.0%
−97.9 pp
97.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %69.6%
+28.0 pp
41.6%
Bot %67.9%
+27.2 pp
40.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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