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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

data as of 2026-07-17 18:04 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$16K−$11K$27K
Holders363+11352
Trades3.0K+3282.7K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.0%
−1.5 pp
51.6%
Avg ROI1.5%
+0.5 pp
1.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×34.59
+33.92×
×0.67
Top-20 avg cost vs price×34.72
+34.10×
×0.62
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$15.2K
−$11.2K
$26.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.00
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.1%
−156.4 pp
59.3%
Underwater %97.8%
+96.0 pp
1.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %54.1%
+1.2 pp
53.0%
Bot %75.0%
+1.4 pp
73.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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