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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 23, 10PM ET

data as of 2025-11-24 03:59 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.9K−$7.3K$16K
Holders76−1086
Trades1.5K−2851.8K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate32.9%
−18.4 pp
51.3%
Avg ROI11.9%
+10.1 pp
1.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.51
+0.55×
×0.96
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.28
+0.32×
×0.96
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$43
−$919
$962
Recent buyer dominance0.61
−0.04
0.65
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-20.4%
−18.5 pp
-1.9%
Underwater %74.1%
+38.6 pp
35.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %51.3%
−14.8 pp
66.1%
Bot %51.3%
−14.7 pp
66.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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