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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3AM ET

data as of 2026-05-12 07:58 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.9K−$4.2K$8.2K
Holders92+3557
Trades986+39947
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.3%
−1.3 pp
51.6%
Avg ROI-1.9%
+1.1 pp
-3.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×15.89
+15.13×
×0.75
Top-20 avg cost vs price×15.97
+15.25×
×0.72
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$129
−$616
$744
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.17
0.80
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.9%
−133.8 pp
39.9%
Underwater %99.1%
+99.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %63.4%
−5.2 pp
68.6%
Bot %68.2%
−7.8 pp
76.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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