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Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11AM ET

data as of 2025-09-15 15:58 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$20K+$5.3K$14K
Holders82+1567
Trades2.1K+732.1K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.4%
−4.2 pp
58.6%
Avg ROI3.1%
−0.8 pp
3.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.51
−24.76×
×25.27
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.49
−24.39×
×24.88
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.1K
−$198
$1.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.68
−0.21
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL108.1%
+204.3 pp
-96.1%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %42.5%
−19.8 pp
62.3%
Bot %43.6%
−19.0 pp
62.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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