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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

data as of 2026-07-06 22:34 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$10K−$7.6K$18K
Holders286−25311
Trades2.5K+1192.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.9%
−1.8 pp
50.7%
Avg ROI2.0%
+1.6 pp
0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×10.37
+9.78×
×0.59
Top-20 avg cost vs price×9.97
+9.32×
×0.65
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$8.6K
−$7.5K
$16.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.98
+0.00
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-89.6%
−149.2 pp
59.7%
Underwater %99.9%
+99.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %42.5%
+1.4 pp
41.1%
Bot %56.2%
−6.7 pp
62.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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