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Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 2.0% and 3.0%?

data as of 2026-04-19 03:12 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jan 31, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO
100¢
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$72−$23K$23K
Holders37−4077
Trades835+257578
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate73.4%
−11.0 pp
84.4%
Avg ROI33.7%
+32.0 pp
1.7%
Win-2x rate██
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██
Avg profit factor██
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██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.76
+0.77×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
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██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$264
$265
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-42.4%
−42.7 pp
0.2%
Underwater %18.0%
+5.2 pp
12.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %5.6%
−72.5 pp
78.1%
Bot %5.6%
−72.9 pp
78.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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