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S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 30?

data as of 2026-06-29 19:25 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jun 30, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
74¢
NO
15¢
YES
74¢
YesY-NNo
Position$174+$171$3
Holders2+11
Trades3+12
NO
15¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate56.7%
+13.0 pp
43.7%
Avg ROI-24.2%
−24.6 pp
0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$3
$3
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Underwater %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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