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Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 40°C on June 4?

data as of 2026-06-04 06:32 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$157−$8.9K$9.0K
Holders85−23108
Trades577+76501
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.3%
−38.7 pp
84.0%
Avg ROI20.0%
+13.3 pp
6.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.41
+0.42×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.67
+0.68×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5
−$281
$286
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-41.8%
−42.6 pp
0.8%
Underwater %99.1%
+90.1 pp
9.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %3.1%
+0.4 pp
2.6%
Bot %3.1%
−0.5 pp
3.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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