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Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by October 31?

data as of 2025-09-11 03:25 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$545+$201$343
Holders11−1425
Trades56−54110
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate60.0%
+14.7 pp
45.3%
Avg ROI3.4%
−11.0 pp
14.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
−1.20×
×2.20
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
−3.07×
×4.07
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$85
+$85
$0
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+75.5 pp
-75.5%
Underwater %0.0%
−98.8 pp
98.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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