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Will Trump say "ISIS" in May?

data as of 2026-05-04 20:16 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.1K+$1.0K$39
Holders4−610
Trades12−3042
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.6%
+45.6 pp
0.0%
Avg ROI12.1%
+12.1 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.56
+0.56×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.38
+0.38×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$0
$0
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-27.6%
−27.6 pp
0.0%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %62.4%
−37.6 pp
100.0%
Bot %62.4%
−37.6 pp
100.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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