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Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 2?

data as of 2026-05-01 15:49 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$38−$3.3K$3.3K
Holders55−2277
Trades386+172214
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate16.6%
−64.5 pp
81.1%
Avg ROI10.6%
+10.4 pp
0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.63
+2.66×
×0.97
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.23
+2.25×
×0.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
−$190
$192
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-69.0%
−71.3 pp
2.3%
Underwater %77.5%
+74.8 pp
2.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %37.0%
+33.9 pp
3.1%
Bot %53.8%
+50.8 pp
3.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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