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Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

data as of 2026-01-24 09:45 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$15K−$16K$32K
Holders346+119227
Trades4.2K−1254.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate32.3%
−23.6 pp
55.9%
Avg ROI-0.5%
+0.4 pp
-0.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×27.59
+26.90×
×0.69
Top-20 avg cost vs price×26.60
+25.89×
×0.72
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$855
−$14.5K
$15.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.72
−0.13
0.85
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.2%
−138.0 pp
41.8%
Underwater %91.7%
+91.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %75.0%
−1.1 pp
76.1%
Bot %75.0%
−1.1 pp
76.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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