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Will the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) win between 16 and 18 seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?

data as of 2026-05-04 05:43 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.1K−$8.7K$9.8K
Holders23−831
Trades190+85105
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate40.0%
−31.3 pp
71.2%
Avg ROI1.5%
+1.1 pp
0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.36
+0.36×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.43
+0.45×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$816
−$4.7K
$5.5K
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-31.1%
−32.3 pp
1.1%
Underwater %98.9%
+97.9 pp
1.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %1.9%
−2.5 pp
4.3%
Bot %67.9%
+63.6 pp
4.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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