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Will the next Government of Australia be a Liberal–National minority?

data as of 2025-05-03 09:06 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$8.6K−$188K$197K
Holders115−42157
Trades1.3K+2031.1K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate59.7%
−21.6 pp
81.3%
Avg ROI5.7%
+1.6 pp
4.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×15.19
+14.23×
×0.96
Top-20 avg cost vs price×15.77
+14.82×
×0.95
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$16
−$882
$898
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.06
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.8%
−98.5 pp
4.8%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %5.5%
−61.5 pp
67.0%
Bot %4.5%
−67.7 pp
72.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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