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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

data as of 2026-07-10 04:39 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$36K+$28K$7.8K
Holders378+39339
Trades2.9K−2633.2K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.4%
+4.4 pp
48.0%
Avg ROI1.4%
−1.0 pp
2.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.86
−3.38×
×4.24
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.87
−4.03×
×4.90
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$33.3K
+$26.7K
$6.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
−0.02
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL18.5%
+98.7 pp
-80.2%
Underwater %3.2%
−91.4 pp
94.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %30.4%
−5.3 pp
35.7%
Bot %47.5%
−4.3 pp
51.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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