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Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

data as of 2026-06-17 12:13 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jul 4, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
78¢
NO
21¢
YES
78¢
YesY-NNo
Position$6.8K−$695$7.5K
Holders44−1054
Trades348−158506
NO
21¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate68.3%
+14.9 pp
53.4%
Avg ROI17.4%
+15.4 pp
2.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.92
−0.34×
×1.26
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.93
−0.32×
×1.25
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$3.9K
−$4.4K
$434
Recent buyer dominance0.02
−0.96
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL7.7%
+27.2 pp
-19.5%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.6 pp
99.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %1.0%
−4.7 pp
5.8%
Bot %1.2%
−11.2 pp
12.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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