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Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on June 3?

data as of 2026-06-03 05:38 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$78−$1.4K$1.4K
Holders40−1050
Trades130+9121
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.1%
−33.3 pp
78.4%
Avg ROI7.1%
+1.6 pp
5.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.28
−1.00×
×1.28
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.34
−0.93×
×1.27
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$19
−$92
$111
Recent buyer dominance0.95
−0.05
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL199.1%
+219.6 pp
-20.6%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %4.9%
−8.9 pp
13.8%
Bot %14.6%
+0.8 pp
13.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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