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Will Strava’s market cap be between $5B and $7B at market close on IPO day?

data as of 2026-01-15 02:04 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Dec 31, 2027Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
3¢
NO
97¢
YES
3¢
YesY-NNo
Position$23−$417$440
Holders11−617
Trades72+2448
NO
97¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate0.0%
−80.1 pp
80.1%
Avg ROI0.0%
−0.3 pp
0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
−0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$20
$20
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Underwater %0.0%
−28.6 pp
28.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %100.0%
+28.6 pp
71.4%
Bot %100.0%
+0.0 pp
100.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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