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Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

data as of 2025-12-16 05:57 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$13K−$591K$603K
Holders866−2.8K3.7K
Trades37K+6.1K31K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate36.1%
−31.0 pp
67.1%
Avg ROI7.2%
−2.3 pp
9.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.55
+0.56×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.23
+1.24×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$1
+$128
−$128
Recent buyer dominance0.44
+0.22
0.23
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-58.3%
−59.3 pp
1.0%
Underwater %99.9%
+99.8 pp
0.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %17.0%
−68.2 pp
85.2%
Bot %17.0%
−68.4 pp
85.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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