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U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by February 4?

data as of 2026-02-02 17:22 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.3K−$6.7K$8.0K
Holders70+4129
Trades678+403275
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate60.5%
−15.2 pp
75.8%
Avg ROI13.0%
+9.3 pp
3.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×16.90
+15.95×
×0.95
Top-20 avg cost vs price×14.91
+14.01×
×0.91
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$12
+$213
−$201
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.5%
−104.2 pp
9.6%
Underwater %70.3%
+70.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %50.2%
+44.9 pp
5.3%
Bot %50.2%
+44.9 pp
5.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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