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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

data as of 2025-10-08 22:27 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$11K+$10K$509
Holders16−319
Trades103+2479
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate95.6%
+67.9 pp
27.7%
Avg ROI45.7%
+38.7 pp
7.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×50.00
+49.66×
×0.34
Top-20 avg cost vs price×49.78
+49.39×
×0.40
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$10.1K
+$10.0K
$116
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.22
0.78
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-98.0%
−248.4 pp
150.4%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %3.0%
−84.4 pp
87.4%
Bot %3.0%
−78.0 pp
81.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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